Introduction
Financial statement analysis is the process of examining a
company’s performance in the context of its industry and economic environment
in order to arrive at a decision or recommendation. Often, the decisions and
recommendations addressed by financial analysts pertain to providing capital to
companies-specifically, whether to invest in the company’s debt or equity
securities and at what price. An investor in debt securities is concerned about
the company’s ability to pay interest and to repay the principal lent. An
investor in equity securities is an owner with a residual interest in the
company and is concerned about the company’s ability pay dividends and the
likelihood that its share price will increase.
Overall, a central focus of financial statement analysis is
evaluating the company’s ability to earn a return on its capital that is at
least equal to the cost of the capital, to profitably grow its operations, and
to generate enough cash to meet obligations and pursue opportunities.
Background of the company
Kelani Tyres PLC is
engaged in the business of importation and sale of tyres in addition to holding
investments in its subsidiary and joint ventures (JV), as well as earning
rental income from investment property. The company’s segments are local sales
of tyres, vehicle hiring income and investments. The company’s JV Company, CEAT
kelani Holdings (Private) Limited (CKH), is engaged in the manufacturer of
automobile tyresnfor the purpose of local sales and exports. In addition, the JV
imports and sell tyres of certain sizes. CKH is involved in the Motorcycle,
Truck/Bus, three wheeler, Agricultural and passenger Car/Van sectors. CKH’s
manufacturing facilities are located at their factories at Nagoda, Kalutara
district and Kelaniy, Gampaha district. Executive Cars (Private) Limited is the
subsidiary of the company.
Financial
Statement of Kelani tyres
Financial statement
analysis is a method of assessing a company's past, present, and expected
results. Horizontal analysis, which contrasts two or more years of financial
data in both dollar and percentage form, is one of the most common techniques
used in financial statement analysis. Vertical analysis, in which each balance
sheet account is interpreted as a percentage of the overall account; and ratio
analysis, in which statistical correlations between data are measured.
The use of different types of ratios is the second
approach for evaluating financial statements. We use ratios to find out how
large one number is in comparison to another. After measuring a ratio, we can
equate it to a similar ratio measured for a previous time or one based on an
industry average to see if the business is performing as expected.
Horizontal Analysis
Horizontal analysis is an approach used to analyze financial
statements by comparing specific financial information for a certain accounting
period with information from other periods. Trends or changes are measured by
comparing the current year’s values against those of the base year. The goal is
to determine any increase or decline in specific values that has taken place. A
percentage or an absolute comparison may be used in horizontal analysis.
In
considering the Kelani tyres the historical analysis as shown in the following
table.
Dollar change=Analysis period amount- Based
period Amount
Percentage change=Dollar change/Based period
amount *100
Base year - 2014
Assets |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
Property,
plant and equipment |
9.97 |
-19.06 |
-42.8 |
1.94 |
20.4 |
Investment property |
-1.83 |
17.09 |
-0.27 |
6.82 |
37.38 |
Intangible
assets |
-12.8 |
-25.38 |
-34.69 |
-51.56 |
-62.3 |
Deferred
income tax assets |
-0.21 |
-1.83 |
-9.01 |
-81.53 |
-32.3 |
Investment in
joint venture |
28.32 |
- |
- |
100 |
100 |
Trade and other
receivables |
122 |
110.57 |
54.79 |
51.82 |
25.75 |
Cash and cash
equivalents |
145 |
145.86 |
695.60 |
-70.4 |
10.19 |
Total assets |
37.28 |
35.86 |
74.85 |
78.09 |
-25.03 |
Liabilities |
|
|
|
|
|
Borrowings |
134.92 |
-35.55 |
-39.99 |
-66.65 |
100 |
Defined
benefit obligations |
100.31 |
-7.54 |
-24.6 |
142.28 |
11.1 |
Trade and
other payables |
25.49 |
57.87 |
22.88 |
159.73 |
282.95 |
Borrowings |
481.43 |
519.3 |
-3.18 |
42.87 |
40.47 |
Total
liabilities |
379.21 |
131.85 |
54.8 |
36.79 |
-3.81 |
Equity |
|
|
|
|
|
Stated
capital |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
Revaluation
reserve |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
Retained
earnings |
35.01 |
41.98 |
162.41 |
17.74 |
-30.39 |
Total equity |
31.43 |
13.92 |
79.44 |
-12.69 |
113.18 |
Total equity
and liabilities |
37.28 |
-2.84 |
74.85 |
-11.07 |
-15.70 |
The horizontal analysis shows that
the significant increase of property plant and equipment from 2017 to 2019.
However it recorded a negative amounts in 2016 and 2017. In considering
investment property recorded negative amount in 2015 and 2017. However it is
increase in 2018 and drastically increases in 2019. Intangible assets and
deferred income tax assets are decreasing gradually compared with the base
period.
In considering the Investment in joint
venture it shows the significant increasing in
2018 to 2019. In 2016 and 2017 there were no amount in Investment in joint
ventures. It recorded high amounts in 2018 and 2019. Trade and other
receivables are highly fluctuated and throughout the period and it recorded the positive value throughout the period. Cash and cash equivalents
are increasing from 2015 to 2017 and recorded a negative value in 2018. Total
assets are increasing from 2015 to 2018 which is a good sign for the company
and indicates a negative value in 2019. Borrowings are decreasing from 2015 to
2018 and recorded a drastic increase in 2019.
Then it is needed to analysis the
nature of the liabilities throughout the period. It shows that borrowing
decrease in a large amount (from 134.92 to -66.95) compared with the base year
and again increase only in 2019. Defined benefit
obligations are negative in 2016 and 2017 and is highest in 2018. Trade
and other payable plays a significant increase during the study period. It is a
sharp increase from 2015 to 2019. However the overall figure show that
total liability decrease gradually from 2015 to 2019 compared with the base
year.
Trend
Analysis
Trend analysis is the process of
computing business data over time to identify any consistent results or trends.
Trend analysis helps to understand how the business has performed and predict
where current business operations and practices. It will give the ideas about
how Trend analysis to help improve business by:
·
Identifying areas where your business is
performing well
·
Identifying areas where the business is
underperforming
·
Providing evidence to decision making.
Trend
Period = Analysis period amount / Base period amount*100
Assets |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
Property,
plant and equipment |
102.3 |
109.5 |
1193.2 |
112.8 |
126.7 |
139.1 |
Investment
property |
125.9 |
111.6 |
53.9 |
53.9 |
31.8 |
31.8 |
Intangible
assets |
101.2 |
63.8 |
408.4 |
10.32 |
173.3 |
210.4 |
Deferred
income tax assets |
109.3 |
71.6 |
62.5 |
125.9 |
12.8 |
49.5 |
Investment in
joint venture |
106.8 |
52.7 |
85.9 |
85.9 |
89.3 |
127.9 |
Trade and other
receivables |
105.3 |
61.13 |
3.76 |
10.34 |
2.81 |
8.91 |
Cash and cash
equivalents |
103.6 |
118.9 |
141.8 |
172.7 |
156.9 |
186.9 |
Total assets |
107.6 |
123.8 |
134.7 |
148.9 |
162.5 |
189.7 |
Liabilities |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Borrowings |
109.7 |
152.9 |
259.6 |
198.7 |
2.98 |
3.06 |
Defined
benefit obligations |
123.9 |
528.8 |
518.9 |
204.8 |
318.6 |
702.9 |
Trade and
other payables |
103.6 |
85.9 |
146.9 |
965.9 |
973.5 |
954.9 |
Borrowings |
111.8 |
154.5 |
261.6 |
201.8 |
4.92 |
5.28 |
Total
liabilities |
125.9 |
148.4 |
159.1 |
171.8 |
183.7 |
210.8 |
Equity |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Stated
capital |
109.89 |
109.89 |
193.8 |
192.94 |
199.5 |
199.5 |
Revaluation
reserve |
100 |
131.8 |
116.7 |
137.9 |
69.7 |
77.77 |
Retained
earnings |
100 |
111.9 |
124.8 |
141.7 |
167.9 |
182.9 |
Total equity |
93.8 |
118.9 |
169.5 |
183.8 |
215.5 |
247.9 |
Total equity
and liabilities |
97.5 |
128.6 |
141.7 |
132.8 |
175.5 |
198.5 |
Trend Analysis – Assets
The following figures
show the behavior of the assets throughout of the study period. Property, plant
and equipment shows the normal pattern increase from 2014 to 2106, decrease in
2017 and again increase in 2018 and 2019. Investment property is gradually decrease
from 2014 to 2019. The highest intangible assets record in 2016 and significant
decrease shows in 2017. Investment in joint ventures also recorded the normal
pattern throughout the period.
Trade and other
receivables decrease from 2014 to 2016 and increase in 2017 and again decrease
in 2018. Cash and cash equivalents increases throughout the study period. In
considering the total assets it recorded the increment throughout the
period.
Trend
Analysis – Liabilities
In considering the long term borrowings it increases
slightly from 2014 to 2016 and then decrease from 2017 to 2019. Defined
benefit obligation is increase considerably in 2015 and 2016, decrease in 2017
and 2018 and then again significantly increase in 2019.
It is a remarkable
increase in Trade and other payables during the period from 2017 to 2019.
Figure shows that 965.9 increase compared with the base year. The total
liability figure shows that slight increase during the study period.
Trend
Analysis – Income statement
|
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
Operating income |
94.7 |
118.6 |
107.6 |
118.9 |
121.9 |
147.9 |
Operating Expenses |
147.9 |
147.9 |
99.7 |
85.5 |
83.8 |
79.5 |
Profit before
Taxation |
101.5 |
224.8 |
182.8 |
438.9 |
447.2 |
657.9 |
Tax |
104.3 |
223.8 |
271.9 |
419.9 |
511.3 |
698.7 |
Net profit |
110.6 |
228.9 |
132.7 |
389.4 |
431.7 |
589.5 |
According to the above figure it is clear that operating
income is increase from 2014 to 2019 while operating expense decrease. Profit
before taxation decrease in 2015 and increase from 2016 to 2019. In considering
the net profit it shows that slightly decrease in 2016 and then increase from
2017 to 2019.
Vertical
Analysis
Vertical analysis is an accounting tool that enables
proportional analysis of documents, such as financial statements. While
performing a vertical analysis, every line item on a financial statement is
entered as a percentage of another item. For example, on an income statement,
every line item is stated in terms of the percentage of gross sales.
The most common use of vertical analysis is within a
financial statement for a single time period, so that one can see the relative
proportions of account balances. Vertical analysis also useful for timeline
analysis, to see relative changes in accounts over time, such as on a
comparative basis over a five-year period.
The usual denominator is the asset
total, but one can also use the total of all liabilities when calculating all
liability line item percentages, and the total of all equity accounts when
calculating all equity line item percentages.
Common size percent=Analysis amount/
Base amount*100
Vertical Analysis- Base year 2014
Assets |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
Property,
plant and equipment |
5.76 |
4.47 |
5.25 |
4.04 |
4.16 |
Investment
property |
18.45 |
12.46 |
13.22 |
0 |
0 |
Intangible
assets |
6.01 |
6.62 |
5.28 |
5.84 |
4.89 |
Deferred
income tax assets |
0.4 |
0.35 |
0.53 |
0.004 |
0.043 |
Investment in
joint venture |
1.72 |
1.74 |
1.46 |
1.73 |
1.44 |
Trade and other
receivables |
0.52 |
0.004 |
0.8 |
0.006 |
0.032 |
Cash and cash
equivalents |
5.76 |
5.25 |
4.65 |
4.60 |
4.41 |
Total assets |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
Liabilities |
|
|
|
|
|
Borrowings |
2.34 |
3.84 |
2.89 |
0.004 |
0.004 |
Defined
benefit obligations |
0.03 |
0.054 |
0.17 |
0.20 |
0.09 |
Trade and
other payables |
0.003 |
0.004 |
0.18 |
0.15 |
0.078 |
Borrowings |
3.89 |
2.01 |
0.68 |
0.35 |
4.28 |
Total
liabilities |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
Equity |
|
|
|
|
|
Stated
capital |
43.04 |
55.65 |
51.79 |
45.83 |
41.34 |
Revaluation
reserve |
5.76 |
4.16 |
4.45 |
4.87 |
5.54 |
Retained
earnings |
59.39 |
39.69 |
43.98 |
24.87 |
24.65 |
Total equity |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
Total equity
and liabilities |
|
|
|
|
|
In considering the Property, plant and equipment vertical analysis the Property, plant and equipment
represent the 5.76 from the total assets. But it shows a slightly decrease in
2015, 2016 and 2017 compared with 2014. Investment property decrease from 2014 to
2016. But in 2018 to 2019 it reported the zero value. Investment in joint venture shows the
normal pattern increase in 2015 and 2106, decrease in 2017 and again increase
in 2018 and 2019. It is remarkable issue is the percentage of Trade and other receivables from
the total asset is very low amount. It is considerably low. It is not good for
the long run of the company.
Borrowings represent
2.34 in and it increase to 3.84 in 2016 and again decrease from 2017 to 2019. Defined benefit obligations increase
from 2015 to 2018 and decrease in 2019. Trade and other payables is quite
low amount compared with the other liability. Short term Borrowings decreasing throughout the
period however it is increase in 2019.
In considering the stated capital represents the 43.04% of
the total equity while revaluation reserves represented 5.76% from the total
equity. However the reserves value decreasing from 2015 to 2018 and increase in
2019.
According to the above analysis it shows that the company
should maintain the good percentage of trade and other receivables from the
total assets. The payable amount is quite low it is good remark of the company.
Ratio
Analysis
·
Debt
Ratio
Total liabilities/ Total Assets
This ratio measures what portion of a company’s assets
is contributed by creditors. The debt ratio
is defined as the ratio
of total debt to total assets, expressed in percentage, and can be interpreted
as the proportion of a company’s assets that are financed by debt.
In
considering the Kelani tyres the debt ratio for the years as follows
|
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
Debt ratio |
88 |
84.51 |
84.72 |
84.89 |
86.73 |
The above results show that the debt
ratio is very high in Kelani tyres throughout the study period. The
higher this ratio, the more leveraged the company and the greater its financial risk.
- Equity Ratio
The equity ratio is a financial ratio indicating
the relative proportion of equity used
to finance a company's assets.
Equity Ratio= Total Shareholders’
Equity/ Total Assets
Equity Ratio is a good indicator of
the level of leverage used
by a company. The Equity ratio measures the proportion of the total assets that
are financed by stockholders and not creditors. A low equity ratio will produce
good results for stockholders as long as the company earns a rate of return on
assets that is greater than the interest rate paid to creditor.
|
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
Equity ratio |
11.60 |
13.11 |
13.23 |
13.45 |
10.87 |
In considering the study period in 2015 it shows 11.60 but it
gradually increases. However it is again dropped to 10.87 in 2019.
In general, higher equity ratios are
typically favorable for companies. But in Kelani tyres it is low. It is not
favorable to the company. Because higher investment levels by shareholders
shows potential shareholders that the company is worth investing in since so
many investors are willing to finance the company. A higher ratio also shows
potential creditors that the company is more sustainable and less risky to lend
future loans. However considering the low ratio investors are not willing to
invest the company.
- Cost to income ratio
Operating cost/Operating
income
The cost-to-income ratio
shows the efficiency of a firm in minimizing costs while increasing profits.
|
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
Cost to income
ratio |
66.96 |
80.20 |
65.13 |
60.95 |
55.73 |
The cost to income ratio of Kelani tyres throughout the study period is
shown above. The lower the cost-to-income ratio, the more efficient the firm is
running. The higher the ratio, the less efficient management is at reducing
costs. So that it is obvious that the ratio is higher trough out the period.
However it is slight decrease in 2019 compared with the 2015 and 2016.
- Return on Equity
The amount of net income returned as a percentage of shareholders
equity. Return on equity measures a corporation's profitability by revealing
how much profit a company generates with the money shareholders have invested.
|
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
ROE |
11.54 |
8.88 |
3.34 |
9.24 |
9.94 |
In considering the above situation the ROE of the Kelani tyres decrease in
2016 then it increase from 2017 to 2019. The ROE allows an investor to
determine the change in profitability over the period.
- Price Earnings Ratio
|
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
Price Earnings
Ratio |
11.56 |
10.75 |
12.98 |
23.65 |
28.43 |
In considering the price earnings ratio of Kelani tyres, P/E
ratio decreasing from 2015. It decrease at 10.75 in 2016. It is slightly
increase in 2017. If company has a P/E higher than the market or
industry average, this means that the market is expecting big things over the
next few months or years. A company with a high P/E ratio will eventually have
to live up to the high rating by substantially increasing its earnings, or the
stock price will need to drop.
·
Earnings per share
Earnings per share, also called net
income per share, is a market prospect ratio that
measures the amount of net income earned per share of stock outstanding. In
other words, this is the amount of money each share of stock would receive if
all of the profits were distributed to the outstanding shares at the end of the
year.
The EPS of Kelani tyres throughout
the study period is as follows.
|
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
Earnings per ratio |
5.38 |
3.01 |
7.02 |
7.46 |
10 |
Earnings per share is the same as any
profitability or market prospect ratio. Higher earnings per share is always
better than a lower ratio because this means the company is more profitable and
the company has more profits to distribute to its shareholders. In considering
Kelani tyres EPS, increase from 2017 to 2018 takes place. However it is
decrease in 2016 due to some problem faced by the company.
Many investors don't pay much
attention to the EPS, a higher earnings per share ratio often makes the stock
price of a company rise. Since so many things can manipulate this ratio,
investors tend to look at it but don't let it influence their decisions based
only EPS of the company.
Conclusion
Sri Lankan economic growth has been one of
the fastest in the Asian region exceeding its south Asian peers. CEAT’s
ramping up of production of truck and bus tyres since the start of the
pandemic-linked lockdown has resulted in the Company now producing 100 per cent
of the segment’s requirements and enabled the government to make a saving of Rs
11 billion a year in foreign exchange. The Company has also achieved an 85 per
cent increase in the production of tyres for the ‘two-wheeler’ segment over the
past three months; enabling a further saving of Rs 350 million a year through
import substitution.
CEAT Kelani can currently produce two million tyres annually
across multiple categories, and an addition of a further 200,000 Car and Van
Radial tyres is imminent with new machinery being installed, pending the
arrival of foreign technologists to commission the additional capacity.
Notably, CEAT Kelani Holdings has kept the prices of its
tyres unchanged since December 2019 to support customers and the economy,
despite the additional investments made in increasing capacity and an increase
in market prices due to demand.
After 2015 the Kelani tyres recorded
good performance and maintain the stable growth momentum. In considering the
account of the improvement EPS rose from 5 to 10 in 2019. It is a considerable
improvement. The total revenue and net interest income is considerable increase
in the study period. Total revenue increases 223 million from 2015 to 527
million in 2019.However operating income is little bit increase in 2019
compared with the 2019.
|