1.0 Introduction
Financial analysis is the process of
evaluating businesses, projects, budgets, and other finance-related
transactions to determine their performance and suitability. Typically,
financial analysis is used to analyze whether an entity is stable, solvent, liquid,
or profitable enough to warrant a monetary investment. Financial analysis
involves using financial data to assess a company’s performance and make
recommendations about how it can improve going forward.
This report has analyzed five years
of annul reports of Kelani Cables PLC company. Horizontal analysis, Ratio
analysis and Z-score analysis are mentioned. Ratio analysis includes Liquidity,
Efficiency, Profitability, Solvency and Market Ratios.
1.1 Kelani Cables PLC
Kelani Cables was founded in 1969 as
a manufacturer and distributor of power and telecommunication cables and
enameled winding wires. Initially, components such as drawn wire were imported,
but over time, the company commenced the manufacture of this commodity at its
factory. Hence, Kelani is the pioneer in Sri Lanka’s wire drawing industry.
Having begun operations with just twelve workers, Kelani Cables is a household
name today with over 500 – strong workforce and a solid reputation for quality
and stability.
Kelani Cables has undergone several
changes in ownership over the years; founded by the Wijegoonawardena family,
the company became a subsidiary of the Australian multinational Pacific Dunlop
Cables Group in 1994 and in late 1999, the major shareholding was transferred
to ACL Cables PLC. These alliances have provided opportunities for expansion
and knowledge sharing which have enabled the company to enhance its operations.
2.0 Horizontal Analysis
|
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
Current Assets |
4,170,757,250 |
4,717,543,874 |
5,003,105,229 |
5,600,574,870 |
6,108,622,013 |
6,893,213,585 |
Current Liabilities |
1,713,176,727 |
2,023,872,939 |
2,238,051,679 |
2,959,977,868 |
3,193,625,149 |
3,779,492,511 |
Inventory & prepaid expences |
1,299,620,252 |
1,648,221,958 |
1,676,332,970 |
1,846,445,397 |
1,749,973,547 |
2,227,972,407 |
Quick Aseets |
2,871,136,998 |
3,069,321,916 |
3,326,772,259 |
3,754,129,473 |
4,358,648,466 |
4,665,241,178 |
Trade and other Receivable |
1,598,975,160 |
2,107,193,618 |
2,161,456,122 |
1,966,745,505 |
2,924,566,409 |
2,981,195,149 |
Revenue |
6,619,776,295 |
7,122,783,962 |
7,994,364,353 |
8,492,482,278 |
8,759,918,341 |
9,650,437,531 |
Average Inventory |
1393888617 |
1473921105 |
1662277464 |
1761389184 |
1798209472 |
1988972977 |
Cost of sale |
5,317,427,456 |
5,987,288,964 |
6,987,825,777 |
7,327,030,326 |
7,446,511,362 |
8,366,450,216 |
Total Asset |
5,095,547,628 |
5,649,808,724 |
6,157,602,845 |
6,819,090,538 |
7,288,069,290 |
8,614,763,014 |
Total non current liabilities |
188,491,563 |
150,129,450 |
230,863,496 |
179,420,068 |
135,539,344 |
207,702,531 |
Total Current Liabilities |
1,713,176,727 |
2,023,872,939 |
2,238,051,679 |
2,959,977,868 |
3,193,625,149 |
3,779,492,511 |
Total Liabilities |
1,901,668,290 |
2,174,002,389 |
2,468,915,175 |
3,139,397,936 |
3,329,164,493 |
3,987,195,042 |
Total Equity |
3,193,879,338 |
3,475,806,335 |
3,688,687,670 |
3,679,692,602 |
3,958,904,797 |
4,627,567,972 |
Net profit |
496,726,991 |
376,437,913 |
196,860,277 |
224,706,141 |
355,060,160 |
620,849,864 |
Profit before tax |
678,622,231 |
495,940,899 |
263,748,700 |
321,625,966 |
428,154,952 |
744,114,254 |
finance cost |
17,368,937 |
11,708,376 |
59,123,601 |
106,174,363 |
54,953,354 |
75,435,634 |
Revenue |
6,619,776,295 |
7,122,783,962 |
7,994,364,353 |
8,492,482,278 |
8,759,918,341 |
9,650,437,531 |
Cost of sale |
5,317,427,456 |
5,987,288,964 |
6,987,825,777 |
7,327,030,326 |
7,446,511,362 |
8,366,450,216 |
Net profit |
496,726,991 |
376,437,913 |
196,860,277 |
224,706,141 |
355,060,160 |
620,849,864 |
Gross profit |
1,302,348,839 |
1,135,494,998 |
1,006,538,576 |
1,165,451,952 |
1,313,406,979 |
1,283,987,315 |
Market price per share |
112.5 |
117.5 |
93 |
67.4 |
52 |
111.75 |
Annual Divident per share |
3 |
4.5 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
4.5 |
Retained Earnings |
2,284,298,808 |
2,566,225,805 |
2,686,275,030 |
2,677,279,962 |
2,956,492,157 |
3,455,811,558 |
Market vakue of Equity |
2452500000 |
2561500000 |
2027400000 |
1469320000 |
1133600000 |
2436150000 |
3.0 Ratio Analysis
3.1 Liquidity and Efficiency
A liquidity ratio is a type of
financial ratio used to determine a company’s ability to pay its short-term
debt obligations. The metric helps determine if a company can use its current,
or liquid, assets to cover its current liabilities. Liquidity ratio calculation
of a company complies with major two sections. Those are Acid test ratio and
current ratio.
Efficiency ratios are metrics that
are used in analyzing a company’s ability to effectively employ its resources,
such as capital and assets, to produce income. The ratios serve as a comparison
of expenses made to revenues generated, essentially reflecting what kind of
return in revenue or profit a company can make from the amount it spends to
operate its business.
The more efficiently a company is
managed and operates, the more likely it is to generate maximum profitability
for its owners and shareholders over the long term.
This is the
liquidity and efficiency ratios related to Kelani Cables PLC.
Ratio |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
Working Capital |
2457580523 |
2693670935 |
2765053550 |
2640597002 |
2914996864 |
3113721074 |
Current Ratio |
2.4345 |
2.3309 |
2.2355 |
1.8921 |
1.9128 |
1.8238 |
Acid Test Ratio |
1.6759 |
1.5166 |
1.4865 |
1.2683 |
1.3648 |
1.2344 |
Accounts Receivable
Turnover |
3.8742 |
3.8437 |
3.7456 |
4.1144 |
3.5818 |
3.2681 |
Total Asset Turnover |
1.3282 |
1.3257 |
1.3541 |
1.3089 |
1.2419 |
1.2137 |
Days Sales in
Inventory |
89.2088 |
100.4797 |
87.5611 |
91.9817 |
85.7771 |
97.1989 |
Day’s sale Uncollected |
88.1640 |
107.9810 |
98.6860 |
84.5291 |
121.8581 |
112.7551 |
Merchandise Turnover |
3.8148 |
4.0622 |
4.2038 |
4.1598 |
4.1411 |
4.2064 |
3.1.1 Working Capital
Working capital is the difference between the current asset
and current liabilities. This is the amount used for day-to-day operations of
the company., which mean the current asset may increase, that is, in some cases
good for the organization if the organization treat it like a reserve account
but in other conditions its unfavorable because of less utilization of the
current asset.
3.1.2
Current Ratio
This measures the short-term solvency of the company using
the balance sheet. Also known as the working capital ratio, it tells if a firm
has sufficient funds to pay its liabilities over the period of next 12 months.
The current ratio can also give a sense of the efficiency of a company’s
operating cycle or its ability to turn its product into cash.
During the
last 5 years, within 2016-2021 it kept around between 1.5 and 2.5. In the last
year 2021 it was around 2. It is not a good sign for the company. Company
should have work to increase this value.
3.1.3
Acid-test Ratio
The acid test ratio is similar to the current ratio except
that Inventory, Supplies, and Prepaid Expenses are excluded. In other words,
the acid test ratio compares the total of the cash, temporary marketable
securities, and accounts receivable to the amount of current liabilities. This
ratio shows the relationship between the quick asset and the current
liabilities and shows the company ability to pay back its current liability
within its short period of time.
During 2016- 20218 the acid test ratio is around 1.5. But
after 2018 it is less than 1.5 and it is not a good sign for the company. There
is a slight change in this ratio since last three years. This ratio is slightly
unfavorable for the organization, it should be improved.
3.1.4
Account Receivable Turnover
The accounts receivable turnover ratio, also known as the
debtor’s turnover ratio, is an efficiency ratio that measures how efficiently a
company is collecting revenue – and by extension, how efficiently it is using
its assets. The accounts receivable turnover ratio measures the number of times
over a given period that a company collects its average accounts receivable.
During 2016-2021, account receivable turnover is between 3
and 4 expect 2019. In 2019 it has increased to 4.1 times. After 2019 account
receivable turnover slightly decrease and lowest value is in last year, among
last 5 years.
3.1.5
Total Asset Turnover
Total asset
turnover is a financial efficiency ratio that measures the ability of a company
to use its assets to generate sales. This ratio shows the utilization of the
total asset. The total asset turnover ratio is calculated by dividing the net
sales by the average total assets.
If we look at the graph, there is gradual slight decrease in
this ratio. This shows some degree in- efficiency of the organization. In 2018
there is a increase in terms of Kelani Cables plc. This increase shows the
total assets are properly being utilized for the purpose of earning interest.
After 2018 that values graphically decreased and last year total asset turnover
is 1.2 times. Higher the ratio will be more favorable for the organization.
3.1.6
Days’ Sales in Inventory
The days
sales of inventory (DSI) is a financial ratio that indicates the average time
in days that a company takes to turn its inventory, including goods that are a
work in progress, into sales.
According to the graph Days Sales in Inventory values goes
up and down over past 5 years. Highest value shown in 2017 and lowest value
shown in 2020. But 2021 that value again increased. It is better if days sales
in inventory values are low.
3.1.7
Days’ Sales Uncollected
Days' sales uncollected is a liquidity ratio that is used to
estimate the number of days before receivables will be collected. This
information is used by creditors and lenders to determine the short-term
liquidity of a company. It can also be used by management to estimate the
effectiveness of its credit and collection activities.
According to the graph Days’ sales uncollected vales are
changed between 80 and 120 days, except 2020. In 2020 that value increased in
to 122 days. It is also better to have low value in days sales uncollected.
3.1.8
Merchandise Turnover
Inventory turnover, often called
merchandise turnover, is an efficiency ratio that calculates the number of
times average inventory is sold during a period. In other words, it measures
how often a company can sell its average inventory. The inventory turnover
ratio is calculated by dividing cost of goods sold by the average inventory for
the period.
According to the graph 2016 has the lowest value in
Merchandise turnover. There is a slight change in this ratio since last four
years. Last four years have better merchandise turnover value, it is favourable
for Kelani Cables PLC.
3.2 Solvency Ratio
A solvency ratio is a performance
metric that helps us examine a company’s financial health. In particular, it
enables us to determine whether the company can meet its financial obligations
in the long term. Solvency ratio calculation of a company complies with major
three sections. Those are Debt ratio, Equity ratio and Times interest earned.
This is the
Solvency ratios related to Kelani Cables PLC.
Ratio |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
Debt Ratio |
37.32% |
38.48% |
40.10% |
46.04% |
45.68% |
46.28% |
Equity Ratio |
62.68% |
61.52% |
59.90% |
53.96% |
54.32% |
53.72% |
Times Interest Earned |
38.0710 |
41.3578 |
5.4610 |
4.0292 |
8.7912 |
10.8642 |
3.2.1
Debt Ratio
The term debt ratio refers to a
financial ratio that measures the extent of a company’s leverage. The debt
ratio is defined as the ratio of total debt to total assets, expressed as a
decimal or percentage. It can be interpreted as the proportion of a company’s
assets that are financed by debt. A ratio greater than 1 shows that a
considerable portion of a company's debt is funded by assets, which means the
company has more liabilities than assets. This ratio shows that how much
portion of the assets are covered by the liabilities of the organization.
3.2.2
Equity Ratio
The equity ratio is a financial
metric that measures the amount of leverage used by a company. It uses
investments in assets and the amount of equity to determine how well a company
manages its debts and funds its asset requirements. A low equity ratio means
that the company primarily used debt to acquire assets, which is widely viewed
as an indication of greater financial risk. Equity ratios with higher value
generally indicate that a company’s effectively funded its asset requirements
with a minimal amount of debt.
3.2.3
Times Interest Earned
Times interest earned (TIE) is a
measure of a company’s ability to honor its debt payments. It is calculated as
a company’s earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) divided by the total
interest payable. The times interest earned ratio is also referred to as the
interest coverage ratio. It shows how many times the company can pay its
interest with its income of one year, higher the ratio will be more favorable
for the organization.
According to
the above graph times interest earned value was drastically decreased after
2017 and continue the low value for last four years.
3.3 Profitability Ratio
Profitability ratios are financial
metrics used by analysts and investors to measure and evaluate the ability of a
company to generate income (profit) relative to revenue, balance sheet assets,
operating costs, and shareholders’ equity during a specific period of time.
They show how well a company utilizes its assets to produce profit and value to
shareholders.
Profitability ratio calculation of a
company complies with major six sections. Those are Profit Margin, Gross
Margin, Return on Total Assets, Returns on Common Share Holders’ Equity, Book
Value per Common Share and Basic Earnings per Share.
Ratio |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
Profit Margin |
7.50% |
5.28% |
2.46% |
2.65% |
4.05% |
6.43% |
Gross Margin |
19.67% |
15.94% |
12.59% |
13.72% |
14.99% |
13.30% |
Return on total Assets |
9.97% |
7.01% |
3.33% |
3.46% |
5.03% |
7.81% |
Return on Common shareholders’ Equity |
16.69% |
11.29% |
5.50% |
6.10% |
9.30% |
14.46% |
Book value per common share |
146.5082 |
159.4407 |
169.2059 |
168.7932 |
181.6011 |
212.2738 |
Earnings Per Share (EPS) |
22.7856 |
17.2678 |
9.0303 |
10.3076 |
16.2872 |
28.4794 |
The chart
below shows the four Profitability ratios of Kelani Cables PLC from 2016 to
2021.
3.3.1
Profit Margin
This ratio interprets the net profit
as a percentage of net sales Profit Margin explains the ability of a company to
earn net income from the sale revenue.
In 2016, the ratio was pretty good
but in 2018, there was enormous decline. From 2018 this ratio gradually
increased. Higher the ratio results higher market position of the organization.
As Profit Margin ratio increased, Kelani cables PLC Company shows the success
of the operation in the business.
3.3.2
Gross Margin
Gross profit
margin ratio the shows the gross profit as a percentage of the net sale. Gross
Margin ratio explain the sales that covering the operating expenses and profit
after considering cost of sales.
Gross Margin
ratio has been reduced in 2018 and 2021, in the rest of years, the gross profit
margin has increased in slowly.
3.3.3
Return on Total Assets
Return on total assets (ROTA) is a
ratio that measures a company's earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT)
relative to its total net assets. It is defined as the ratio between net income
and total average assets, or the amount of financial and operational income a
company receives in a financial year as compared to the average of that
company's total assets. The ratio is considered to be an indicator of how
effectively a company is using its assets to generate earnings. This ratio
generally considers the best overall measure of the company profitability.
Return on Total asset ratio decrease
from 2016 to 2018 and then this ratio increased.
3.3.4
Return on Common Shareholders’ Equity
This ratio measures the how well the
company employed the owners’ investment to earn income.
Return on Common Shareholders’
Equity ratio decrease from 2016 to 2018 and then this ratio increased. The
increasing of the ratio explains the wealth of the owners in investment in the
Kelani Cables PLC Company.
3.3.5
Book Value per Common Share
Book Value per Common Share measures
liquidation at reported amount. Higher value of Book Value per Common Share is
good sign to the organization performance.
Book Value
per Common share in Kelani Cables PLC Company increased gradually.
3.3.6
Basic Earnings per Share
Basic
Earnings per Share measures how much income was earned for each share of common
stock outstanding in the organization.
Based on the
performance of the Kelani Cables PLC Company they have increased their EPS
gradually since 2018. But from 2016 to 2018 the ratio has been declined.
3.4 Market Ratio
Ratio |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
Book value per common share |
146.5082 |
159.4407 |
169.2059 |
168.7932 |
181.6011 |
212.2738 |
Earnings Per Share (EPS) |
22.7856 |
17.2678 |
9.0303 |
10.3076 |
16.2872 |
28.4794 |
Price Earning Share |
4.9373 |
6.8046 |
10.2987 |
6.5389 |
3.1927 |
3.9239 |
Dividend Yield |
0.0267 |
0.0383 |
0.0376 |
0.0519 |
0.0673 |
0.0403 |
Market value ratios help evaluate
the economic status of publicly traded companies and can play a role in
identifying stocks that may be overvalued, undervalued, or priced fairly. In
addition, market value ratios give management an idea of what a firm's investors
think of its performance and future prospects.
Market value ratios are also used to
analyze stock trends. For example, a company's low price-earnings ratio may
indicate the stock is an undervalued bargain in a stable industry, but it also
could indicate the company's earnings prospects are relatively uncertain, and
the stock may be a risky bet.
3.4.1 Price
Earnings Ratio
The price-to-earnings ratio (P/E ratio) is the ratio for
valuing a company that measures its current share price relative to its
earnings per share (EPS). The price-to-earnings ratio is also sometimes known
as the price multiple or the earnings multiple.
3.4.2 Dividend
Yield
The dividend yield, expressed as a
percentage, is a financial ratio (dividend/price) that shows how much a company
pays out in dividends each year relative to its stock price.
4.0 Z – Score Analysis
Z-
Score analyse describe the level of solvency in the organization activities by
yearly. Equation of the Z- Score in Kelani Cables PLC company can be
calculated as follows;
|
Column1 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2,457,580,523 |
2,693,670,935 |
2,765,053,550 |
2,640,597,002 |
2,914,996,864 |
3,113,721,074 |
|
Total assets |
5,095,547,628 |
5,649,808,724 |
6,157,602,845 |
6,819,090,538 |
7,288,069,290 |
8,614,763,014 |
T₁ |
0.4823 |
0.4768 |
0.4490 |
0.3872 |
0.4000 |
0.3614 |
Retained Earning |
2,284,298,808 |
2,566,225,805 |
2,686,275,030 |
2,677,279,962 |
2,956,492,157 |
3,455,811,558 |
Total assets |
5,095,547,628 |
5,649,808,724 |
6,157,602,845 |
6,819,090,538 |
7,288,069,290 |
8,614,763,014 |
T₂ |
0.4483 |
0.4542 |
0.4363 |
0.3926 |
0.4057 |
0.4011 |
Earning before Tax |
695,991,168 |
507,649,275 |
322,872,301 |
427,800,329 |
483,108,306 |
819,549,888 |
Total assets |
5,095,547,628 |
5,649,808,724 |
6,157,602,845 |
6,819,090,538 |
7,288,069,290 |
8,614,763,014 |
T₃ |
0.1366 |
0.0899 |
0.0524 |
0.0627 |
0.0663 |
0.0951 |
Market value of Equity |
2,452,500,000 |
2,561,500,000 |
2,027,400,000 |
1,469,320,000 |
1,133,600,000 |
2,436,150,000 |
Total liabilities |
1,901,668,290 |
2,174,002,389 |
2,468,915,175 |
3,139,397,936 |
3,329,164,493 |
3,987,195,042 |
T₄ |
1.2897 |
1.1782 |
0.8212 |
0.4680 |
0.3405 |
0.6110 |
Sales |
6,619,776,295 |
7,122,783,962 |
7,994,364,353 |
8,492,482,278 |
8,759,918,341 |
9,650,437,531 |
Total assets |
5,095,547,628 |
5,649,808,724 |
6,157,602,845 |
6,819,090,538 |
7,288,069,290 |
8,614,763,014 |
T₅ |
1.2991 |
1.2607 |
1.2983 |
1.2454 |
1.2020 |
1.1202 |
Z |
3.6560 |
3.4598 |
3.0572 |
2.5560 |
2.4144 |
2.5889 |
|
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
Current Assets |
4,170,757,250 |
4,717,543,874 |
5,003,105,229 |
5,600,574,870 |
6,108,622,013 |
6,893,213,585 |
Current Liabilities |
1,713,176,727 |
2,023,872,939 |
2,238,051,679 |
2,959,977,868 |
3,193,625,149 |
3,779,492,511 |
Working capital |
2,457,580,523 |
2,693,670,935 |
2,765,053,550 |
2,640,597,002 |
2,914,996,864 |
3,113,721,074 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
No of shares |
21,800,000 |
21,800,000 |
21,800,000 |
21,800,000 |
21,800,000 |
21,800,000 |
Market price per share |
112.5 |
117.5 |
93 |
67.4 |
52 |
111.75 |
Market vakue of Equity |
2,452,500,000 |
2,561,500,000 |
2,027,400,000 |
1,469,320,000 |
1,133,600,000 |
2,436,150,000 |
Based on the above
calculations Z-Score for the Kelani Cables PLC Company as follows,
Years |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
Z Score |
3.6560 |
3.4598 |
3.0572 |
2.5560 |
2.4144 |
2.5889 |
Model
for the Z- Score for the Kelani Cables PLC Company as follows;
Z
> 2.60 - Safe Zone
1.1
< Z > 2.60 – Grey Zone
Z
< 1.1 - Distress Zone
Based on the above
calculations Kelani
Cables PLC Company in safe
zone from 2016 to 2018. After 2018 the company is in the grey zone till 2021.
4.0 Conclusion
When considered ratio analysis of
Kelani cables PLC 2016 has most favorable ratios than last 5 years and year
2020 and 2021 has basically lowest ratios. The main reason of financial
declines of last two years is global pandemic of Covid-19. According to the
z-score analysis from 2016 to 2018, company is in safe zone but from 2019 to
2021 company is in grey zone. Kelani Cables PLC company should focus on these
values and they should take actions to increase economical position of company.
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