1. Background
Sri Lankan construction industry
experienced a difficult operating environment over the past two years due Covid
Pandemic in late 2020 and 2021 followed by the economic down turn experienced
by the country in 2022 (FY22 ending 31st March 2022) and 2023 (FY23
ending 31st March 2023). The resulting monitory policy measured such
as interest rate hikes has forced Sri Lankan businesses, especially
construction sector businesses towards bankruptcy. Hence, when investing in
company shares (especially construction sector), proper financial analysis of
investments opportunities and identifying fundamentally strong businesses to
invest in, is critical.
2. Objective
The objective of this report is;
I.
Provide a basic overview of Alumex and its
operations.
II.
Provide an overview of financial performance of
the company.
III.
Evaluate the company as an investment opportunity
using multiple analysis techniques including YoY Growth Analysis, Ratio
Analysis, Vertical Analysis and Trend Analysis
3. Company Overview
Alumex PLC is the undisputed
market leader in Sri Lanka for Aluminium extrusions with a market share of 50%.
Company maintains world class manufacturing facilities. Presently Alumex has a
manufacturing capacity of over 1,850 metric tons of Aluminium extrusion manufacturing
capacity per month.
Company is the leading expert in
Sri Lanka for mill finished, anodised, powder coated and wood finished
Aluminium profiles for industrial and architectural use. C. 15% of company
revenue is from exports. Alumex’s value added engineering solutions are highly sought
after in the USA, Australia, Europe, Asia, and Africa.
Alumex have a diverse product portfolio
catering to all segments of the market through a broad gamut of UKAS accredited
architectural, hardware, and industrial products including the globally recognized
international proprietary systems for doors, windows, and facades manufactured
under license from reputed global principals.
As an environmentally friendly
manufacturer, 50% of the Aluminium used in the production are recycled and
sourced locally. Additionally, the supply chain consists of 50% local suppliers
and 50% foreign.
4. Financial Performance
FY23 Financial Performance
Group revenue grew 13% YoY in
2023 reaching Rs 10.2bn. However, pressurized by 16% YoY increase in cost of
sales and 23% YoY growth in sales and marketing expenses, group operating
profits were 2% Lower on an YoY basis.
The cost increases experienced in
2023 was on top of the strong expense hikes in 2022. Transfer of such cost
hikes to the market through price increase could be expected throughout 2024
which will gradually recover the operating margins for the company.
Group was affected by high
interest rate environment in 2023 due to short term borrowings aimed at refinancing
maturing debt facilities.
62% YoY increase in other income
along with revenue growth was not sufficient to cover the cost increases in
2023 resulting in a 101% YoY decline in net profits to a Rs 10.2MN loss for the
year.
Five Year Financial Performance Highlights
Prior to Covid pandemic, Alumex
has reported strong 17% YoY revenue growth which only dipped 4% in 2020 even
under pressure from covid pandemic. Revenues recovered strongly in 2021 and
beyond. However, the cost management of the company is unsatisfactory. Sales
and marketing, administrative and Cost of sales (driven by raw material prices)
seem to increase materially each year over the past five years (other than in
2019), resulting material fluctuations in operating and net profits.
Fluctuations in profit shows that cost increases are not reflected in sales
prices and there by sales revenue in a timely manner. There is a lag between
the cost increases and them being transferred to the customers through price
increases.
YoY growth in Revenue and Expenses (Horizontal Analysis)
2023 |
2022 |
2021 |
2020 |
2019 |
|
Revenue |
13% |
63% |
28% |
-4% |
17% |
Cost
of Sales |
16% |
71% |
18% |
-5% |
18% |
Gross
Profit |
2% |
38% |
68% |
3% |
13% |
Other
Income |
62% |
-77% |
819% |
-81% |
-40% |
Selling
and Distribution Expenses |
23% |
41% |
-24% |
17% |
28% |
Administrative
Expenses |
6% |
70% |
10% |
-10% |
29% |
Operating
Profit |
-2% |
7% |
232% |
-18% |
-20% |
Finance
Cost |
234% |
102% |
-36% |
-3% |
181% |
Finance
Income |
64% |
913% |
187% |
-29% |
17% |
Profit
Before Tax |
-87% |
21% |
-2339% |
-244% |
-93% |
Income
Tax Expenses |
-14% |
38% |
990% |
-150% |
-138% |
Profit/(loss)
for the Year |
-101% |
18% |
-1579% |
-200% |
-84% |
YoY growth in Statement of Financial Position (Horizontal Growth)
Non-Current Assets |
2023 |
2022 |
2021 |
2020 |
2019 |
Property,
Plant and Equipment |
12% |
18% |
2% |
-2% |
16% |
Intangible
Assets |
-4% |
-12% |
41% |
31% |
19% |
Right-of-Use
Assets |
-2% |
38% |
333% |
N/A |
N/A |
Investments
in Subsidiaries |
-100% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
10% |
18% |
7% |
-1% |
15% |
|
Current Assets |
|||||
Inventories |
13% |
94% |
-1% |
6% |
10% |
Trade
and Other Receivables |
-13% |
53% |
13% |
-8% |
3% |
Advances
and Prepayments |
-59% |
644% |
85% |
38% |
13% |
Income
Tax Receivable |
|||||
Cash
and Cash Equivalents |
-81% |
80% |
563% |
18% |
-71% |
-17% |
110% |
19% |
3% |
2% |
|
Total
Assets |
-6% |
59% |
12% |
1% |
10% |
Equity and Liabilities |
|||||
Stated
Capital |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
Reserves |
-1% |
13% |
7% |
-1% |
22% |
Retained
Earnings |
43% |
48% |
82% |
-8% |
-15% |
Total
Equity |
25% |
29% |
34% |
-3% |
1% |
Non-Current Liabilities |
|||||
Interest
Bearing Loans and Borrowings |
-42% |
37% |
-39% |
13% |
6% |
Non-Current
Portion of Lease Liability |
-5% |
24% |
466% |
N/A |
N/A |
Retirement
Benefit Liability |
39% |
16% |
16% |
12% |
3% |
Deferred
Tax Liabilities |
81% |
1% |
0% |
-2% |
14% |
-13% |
27% |
-21% |
13% |
7% |
|
Current Liabilities |
|||||
Trade
and Other Payables |
-43% |
65% |
55% |
4% |
1% |
Current
Portion of Long-Term Interest Bearing Borrowings |
-12% |
-12% |
1% |
38% |
39% |
Current
Portion of Lease Liability |
6% |
288% |
-21% |
N/A |
N/A |
Short-Term
Interest Bearing Borrowings |
14% |
209% |
-12% |
-26% |
24% |
Provisions |
31% |
30% |
23% |
-51% |
326% |
Income
Tax Liabilities |
-100% |
883% |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
-18% |
92% |
19% |
-3% |
17% |
|
Total
Equity and Liabilities |
-6% |
59% |
12% |
1% |
10% |
FY23 Statement of Financial Position Behavior:
During the year 2023, non-current
assets increased 10% YoY mainly driven by 12% YoY increase in property, plant
and equipment.
Current assets declined 17% YoY
due to 81% YoY decline in cash position supported by decline in receivables and
pre payments by 13% YoY and 59% YoY respectively.
42% decline in long term debt was
partially offset by 14% increase in short term borrowings due to funding
requirements for refinancing of maturing debt.
Trade payables also declined 43%
YoY in 2023. This was due to suppliers demanding faster settlements due to
uncertain macroeconomic environment.
Five Year Statement of Financial Position Behavior Highlights
Company has continued to grow
PP&E over the past five years other than in 2019 during covid pandemic.
Inventory has continuously grown.
In FY19 and FY20 inventory growth was mainly due to higher inventory volumes
maintained (FY19 due to uncertain environment due to covid). In more recent
years inventory growth is due to higher value of inventory maintained due to
inflation and rupee depreciation driving inventory values up.
Receivables level has fluctuated
but not grown continuously which shows satisfactory recovery levels from trade
receivables.
Company reports both borrowings
and settlements over the past five years which shows Alumex has tried to
continuously refinance facilities and manage the interest rate risk along with
market developments.
Payable days have also continued
to increase over the past five years which is justifiable considering gradual
increase in inventory levels. I Believe the gradual increase in raw material
prices is the reason for the continuous increase in payable balance.
5. Ratio Analysis
Profitability Ratios
Profitability Ratios |
2023 |
2022 |
2021 |
2020 |
2019 |
2018 |
Profit Margin = Net
Income (Profit after tax) /Net Sales |
-0.1% |
10.7% |
14.7% |
-1.3% |
1.2% |
8.9% |
Gross Profit Margin=
Gross Profit/ Sales |
20.1% |
22.3% |
26.3% |
20.0% |
18.7% |
19.3% |
Operating Profit Margin=
Operating Profit/ Sales |
12.0% |
13.8% |
21.1% |
8.1% |
9.6% |
14.0% |
Return on Assets = Profit
after tax / Average Total Assets |
-0.1% |
10.6% |
12.2% |
-0.9% |
0.9% |
6.0% |
Return on Common
Shareholder Equity = (Profit after tax -preferred dividend)/ Average
shareholder Equity |
-0.3% |
33.4% |
36.5% |
-3.3% |
3.2% |
20.0% |
FY23 Performance
Gross margins marginally declined
to 20% in 2023 from 22% in 2022 due to higher cost of material and the slow
transfer of such cost hikes to the customers through price hikes. In addition
to the low GP margins, the higher operating costs such as marketing expenses
and salary expenses in 2023 further pressurized operating margins, resulting a
dip in operating margins to 12% for the year from 13.78% and year ago. With
higher financing costs, Alumex reported a net loss in 2023 compared to 10.7%
net margins experienced in prior year.
High interest rates and high
inflation experienced over majority of 2023 has reduced consumer purchasing
power resulting demand for construction sector material. This has resulted
relatively low financial performance in 2023 as depicted by -0.1% ROA and -0.3%
ROE in 2023 compared to 10.6% ROA and 33.4% ROE in 2022 respectively.
Five Year Performance:
Company has successfully
maintained above 18.5% gross margins and above 8% net margins continuously over
the past five years. However, pressurized by high interest expenses, net
margins has fluctuated materially resulting negative net margins in 2020 and
2023. However, I believe with better control of the cost structure and price
revisions to reflect cost hikes, Alumex could recover back to above 8% net
margins soon.
Liquidity Ratios
Liquidity Analysis |
2023 |
2022 |
2021 |
2020 |
2019 |
2018 |
Current Ratio (x) |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
Acid Test Ratio (x) |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
Accounts receivables
turnover |
8.1 |
8.1 |
6.7 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
9.5 |
Murchandise turnover (x) |
3.5 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
5.7 |
Accounts receivables
turnover (x) |
3.5 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
5.7 |
Receivable Days |
45 |
45 |
54 |
68 |
67 |
39 |
Inventory Days (Days) |
154 |
128 |
149 |
172 |
151 |
84 |
Payable Days (Days) |
104 |
123 |
131 |
119 |
110 |
64 |
FY2023 Performance
Group working capital position
seems to have worsened over the year with inventory days increasing to 154 days
from 128 days in 2022 and Payable days reducing from 123 days in 2022 to 104
days on average in 2023. Group has maintained their debtor days position at 45
days, same as prior year in order to maintain competitiveness, given the
difficult market conditions for the construction sector. Alumex follows an
aggressive approach to working capital management maintaining a current ratio
at 1.0x in both 2022 and 2023 which is lower than the industry standard of
1.3x, whilst maintaining a quick ratio of 0.3x, lower than the 0.5x in prior
year, which is alarmingly low considering the industry standard of 0.8x.
Five Year Performance:
Working capital position for the
company has worsened over the years with inventory days reaching 154 days in
FY23 from 115 days in FY19 and payable days dropping to 104 days in FY23 from
110 days in FY19. In a more positive note, receivable days have improved to 45
days o FY23 from 67 days in FY19.
Company has maintained its aggressive
approach to working capital management over the past 5 years with current ratio
close to 1x and less than 0.5x of quick ratio. Both these ratios are well below
the recommended standards of 1.5x and 1x respectively and well below the
industry standards in each respective year.
Debt Ratios
Debt Ratios |
2023 |
2022 |
2021 |
2020 |
2019 |
2018 |
Debt Ratio = Total Debt Liability
/ Total Assets |
66% |
74% |
68% |
73% |
72% |
70% |
Equity Ratio = Total
Shareholder Equity/ Total Assets * 100 |
34% |
26% |
32% |
27% |
28% |
30% |
Times Interest earned =
Net income before interest and tax/Interest expense |
0.7 |
2.3 |
4.4 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
3.6 |
FY23 Performance:
Debt ratio for Alumex improved to
66% in 2023 from 74% in prior year whilst the equity ratio increased to 34%
from 26% in 2022. The decline in borrowings relatively to 2022 and drop in
payables were major drivers of the decline in debt ratio. However, the limited
short term borrowings initiated by Alumex was in a high interest environment
which increased interest cost materially as shown by the worsening of the
“times interest earned” ratio /interest cover ratio to 0.7x in 2023 from 2.3x
in 2022. Without improved cost controls and pricing to strengthen the operating
margins, company earnings is insufficient to cover the finance cost.
Five Year Performance:
Debt ratio has improved from 72%
in FY19 to 66% in FY23 which shows lessor debt commitment in funding total
assets. However, the debt position for the company seems to be unacceptably
high considering the “times interest earned” ratio being 1x or less in majority
of the past five years. Therefore, I believe the company either has to improve
revenue and control costs to strengthen profit before taxes or reduce debt
burden and ultimately reduce the interest cost for the company.
6. Vertical Analysis
FY23 Performance- Income Statement
Vertical analysis allows to
identify the significance of each cost, expense, liability, asset line item.
According to the below analysis, Cost of sales driven by material cost is the
key cost element for Alumex. Cost of sales represents 80% of sales in 2023 Vs
78% in 2022 and 74% in 2021.
Selling and distribution expenses
and admin expenses increase on YoY basis was in-line with the revenue increase
resulting the “sales and distribution expenses as a percentage of revenue” and
“admin cost as a percentage of revenue” to remain constant at 3% and 6%
respectively over past 3 years.
With vertical analysis, we can
conclude that fluctuation in operating profit over the past 3 years is mainly
due to fluctuations in cost of sales driven by price fluctuation in raw
materials.
Fluctuation in Net profits is due
to material increase in interest cost, which is 18% compared to sales revenue.
Interest cost was only 6% vs sales revenue in 2022.
Five year performance – Income Statement:
Company has managed to reduce
their “cost of sales (COS) as a percentage of revenue” over FY19 and FY20 but
with difficult economic conditions with covid and rupee depreciation has
worsened “cost of sales as a percentage of revenue ratio” in recent few years
from FY21 to FY23.
In a more favorable note,
“Selling and distribution expenses as a percentage of revenue” seem to have
declined over the past 5 years from 5% in FY19 to 3% in FY23 whilst “admin
expenses as a percentage of revenue” also reduced from 7% in FY19 to 6% in
FY23.
“Cost of financing as percentage
of revenue” has gradually decline over the years form 9% in FY19 to 6% in FY22
but with monitory policy measures implemented by Sri Lankan government to
curtail inflation, “interest cost as a percentage of revenue” increased
materially to 18% in FY23.
Overall net margins (net profit
as a percentage of revenue) has remained close to 1% over past 5 years (other
than FY22 and FY21).
Vertical Analysis – Income Statement
2023 |
2022 |
2021 |
2020 |
2019 |
|
2017 |
|
Revenue |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
|
100% |
Cost of Sales |
-80% |
-78% |
-74% |
-80% |
-81% |
|
-81% |
Gross Profit |
20% |
22% |
26% |
20% |
19% |
|
19% |
Other Income |
1% |
1% |
4% |
1% |
3% |
|
6% |
Selling and Distribution Expenses |
-3% |
-3% |
-3% |
-6% |
-5% |
|
-4% |
Administrative Expenses |
-6% |
-6% |
-6% |
-7% |
-7% |
|
-7% |
Operating Profit |
12% |
14% |
21% |
8% |
10% |
|
14% |
Finance Cost |
-18% |
-6% |
-5% |
-9% |
-9% |
|
-4% |
Finance Income |
7% |
5% |
1% |
0% |
0% |
|
0% |
Profit Before Tax |
2% |
13% |
17% |
-1% |
1% |
|
11% |
Income Tax Expenses |
-2% |
-2% |
-2% |
0% |
1% |
|
-2% |
Profit/(loss) for the Year |
0% |
11% |
15% |
-1% |
1% |
|
9% |
FY23 Statement of Financial Position Behavior:
Ratio of Non-current assets vs
total assets increased to 48% in 2023 mainly driven by increased significance
of PP&E in the composition as depicted by the ratio of PP&E as a
percentage of non-current assets at 96% in 2023 vs 91% in 2022.
Inventory position within current
assets also increased to 66% of total current assets compared to 49% in 2022. This
increase was due to higher material prices driving the value of the inventory
holding rather than Alumex maintaining a larger raw material stock. Cash
position has come down to 3% of current assets in 2023 Vs 13% in 2022, which
shows a significant cash burn for the company.
Long term interest baring
borrowings declined to 43% of total noncurrent liability (64% in FY22). This
benefit was completely offset by the increase in short term borrowings as shown
as 56% of current liability position vs 40% in 2022.
Five Year Movement - Statement of Financial Position Behavior:
Noncurrent assets as a percentage
of total assets have gradually declined over the past five years from 58% in
FY19 to 48% in FY23. This is mainly due to a more controlled approach in investments
in PP&E driving PP&E as a proportion of non-current assets to decline
from 98% in FY19 to 93% in FY23.
Significance of inventory within
current assets has gradually improved over the years as depicted bby improving
ratio of “inventory to total current assets”.
Proving of timely collection from
trade receivables, the “trade receivables as a percentage of current assets”
has declined from 32% in FY19 to 21% in FY23.
Long term and short term debt has
largely followed a declining trend over the past five years but with
fluctuation in interest rates, I believe Alumex couldn’t reap the benefits of
overall decline in company borrowings.
Trade payables as percentage of
current liability has worsened overall from 43% in FY18 to 31% in FY23
signaling of more frequent trade payable settlements (a more frequent cash
outflow).
Vertical Analysis – Statement of Financial Position
Non-Current Assets |
2023 |
2022 |
2021 |
2020 |
2019 |
2018 |
Property, Plant and Equipment |
93% |
91% |
91% |
96% |
98% |
98% |
Intangible Assets |
2% |
2% |
3% |
2% |
2% |
1% |
Right-of-Use Assets |
5% |
6% |
5% |
1% |
0% |
0% |
Investments in Subsidiaries |
0% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
48% |
41% |
55% |
58% |
58% |
55% |
|
Current Assets |
||||||
Inventories |
66% |
49% |
52% |
63% |
61% |
57% |
Trade and Other Receivables |
21% |
20% |
28% |
29% |
32% |
32% |
Advances and Prepayments |
9% |
19% |
5% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
Income Tax Receivable |
0% |
0% |
0% |
2% |
2% |
1% |
Cash and Cash Equivalents |
3% |
13% |
15% |
3% |
2% |
8% |
52% |
59% |
45% |
42% |
42% |
45% |
|
Total Assets |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
Equity and Liabilities |
||||||
Stated Capital |
8% |
10% |
13% |
17% |
16% |
17% |
Reserves |
26% |
32% |
37% |
46% |
45% |
37% |
Retained Earnings |
66% |
58% |
50% |
37% |
39% |
46% |
Total Equity |
34% |
26% |
32% |
27% |
28% |
30% |
Non-Current Liabilities |
||||||
Interest Bearing Loans and Borrowings |
43% |
64% |
60% |
78% |
78% |
78% |
Non-Current Portion of Lease Liability |
14% |
13% |
14% |
2% |
0% |
0% |
Retirement Benefit Liability |
14% |
8% |
9% |
6% |
6% |
7% |
Deferred Tax Liabilities |
29% |
14% |
18% |
14% |
16% |
15% |
15% |
16% |
20% |
28% |
25% |
25% |
|
Current Liabilities |
||||||
Trade and Other Payables |
31% |
45% |
52% |
40% |
37% |
43% |
Current Portion of Long-Term Interest Bearing
Borrowings |
11% |
10% |
21% |
25% |
18% |
15% |
Current Portion of Lease Liability |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
0% |
0% |
Short-Term Interest Bearing Borrowings |
56% |
40% |
25% |
34% |
44% |
42% |
Provisions |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
1% |
0% |
Income Tax Liabilities |
0% |
4% |
1% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
51% |
59% |
49% |
46% |
48% |
45% |
|
Total Equity and Liabilities |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
7. Trend Analysis
Trend analysis loos at change in
annual financial performance in a given year compared to base year. In the
following analysis, I have used 2018 performance as the base year and am
evaluating financial performance growth in subsequent years in comparison to
2018 financial performance.
Overall, revenue seems to be
following an increasing trend over that past five years, with relatively higher
revenue boosts experienced over the past two years. Raw material cost an
operating costs was in a declining trend up until 2021 but experienced a major
hike in 2021 resulting in thin margins for the company. Cost increases in 2023
compared to 2018 was less material in-comparison to cost 2022. Tax cost seems
to be in an increasing trend over the past two years.
Trend Analysis – Income Statement
All values in Rs "000" |
2023 |
2022 |
2021 |
2020 |
2019 |
2018 |
Turnover |
10,214,848 |
9,595,282 |
6,021,532 |
4,729,950 |
5,031,000 |
4,422,461 |
Profit
Before Tax |
153,540 |
1,381,755 |
1,022,298 |
66,887 |
176,835 |
514,726 |
Taxation |
-163,750 |
-229,849 |
-181,287 |
-36,038 |
-50,355 |
-150,368 |
Profit
After Tax |
-10,209 |
1,151,906 |
841,011 |
30,849 |
126,480 |
364,358 |
Profit
Attributable to the Group/Company |
-10,209 |
1,151,906 |
841,011 |
30,849 |
126,480 |
364,358 |
Turnover |
106% |
159% |
127% |
94% |
114% |
100% |
Profit Before Tax |
11% |
135% |
1528% |
38% |
34% |
100% |
Taxation |
71% |
127% |
503% |
72% |
33% |
100% |
Profit After Tax |
-1% |
137% |
2726% |
24% |
35% |
100% |
Profit
Attributable to the Group/Company |
-1% |
137% |
2726% |
24% |
35% |
100% |
Trend Analysis – Statement of Financial Position
All
Values In Rs "000" |
2023 |
2022 |
2021 |
2020 |
2019 |
2018 |
Stated
Capital |
283,735 |
283,735 |
283,735 |
283,735 |
283,735 |
283,735 |
Reserves |
933,645 |
983,113 |
862,595 |
807,020 |
812,305 |
665,481 |
Retained
Earnings |
2,391,217 |
2,615,154 |
1,827,320 |
1,291,090 |
1,257,256 |
1,303,415 |
Assets
Employed |
||||||
Non-Current
Assets |
5,002,590 |
4,752,064 |
4,045,857 |
3,805,099 |
3,828,096 |
3,335,359 |
Current
Assets |
5,515,437 |
7,317,236 |
3,628,542 |
2,992,572 |
3,148,422 |
3,067,145 |
Current
Liability Net of Borrowings |
1,715,902 |
2,859,333 |
1,681,094 |
894,208 |
1,173,347 |
1,136,353 |
Capital
Employed |
8,150,932 |
8,805,380 |
5,608,756 |
5,536,202 |
5,440,646 |
4,936,370 |
2023 |
2022 |
2021 |
2020 |
2019 |
2018 |
|
Stated
Capital |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
Reserves |
95% |
114% |
107% |
99% |
122% |
100% |
Retained
Earnings |
91% |
143% |
142% |
103% |
96% |
100% |
Assets
Employed |
||||||
Non-Current
Assets |
105% |
117% |
106% |
99% |
115% |
100% |
Current
Assets |
75% |
202% |
121% |
95% |
103% |
100% |
Current
Liability Net of Borrowings |
60% |
170% |
188% |
76% |
103% |
100% |
Capital
Employed |
93% |
157% |
101% |
102% |
110% |
100% |
9.Conclusion:
Considering that gradual decline in interest rates and recommencement and
increase in construction activity, I believe Alumex will be able to transfer
the increased cost (raw material and operational) to the buyer through
increased prices. I believe this will strengthen the financial performance of
the company by end FY24 and beyond. Further, lower interest rates might reduce the
material prices as well and will filter down to the bottom-line. The company
has a growing and strengthening presence in the export market which I believe
would diversify the geographical risk faced by the company from dependency on
the Sri Lankan market.
However, the weak liquidity
position raises a concern and investors should be mindful of any further
deterioration in the liquidity position.
Overall, I believe Alumex is a
good investment opportunity to consider, especially at the currently discounted
price of Rs9 per share (due to low financial performance in FY23).
Appendix:
Appendix 01:
Financial Details
Income
Statement (All values in Rs "000") |
2023 |
2022 |
2021 |
2020 |
2019 |
2018 |
Revenue |
10,214,848 |
9,042,944 |
5,562,394 |
4,351,891 |
4,516,788 |
3,866,900 |
Cost
of Sales |
-8,165,158 |
-7,027,596 |
-4,100,334 |
-3,480,974 |
-3,672,354 |
-3,119,674 |
Gross
Profit |
2,049,690 |
2,015,348 |
1,462,060 |
870,917 |
844,434 |
747,226 |
Other
Income |
84,286 |
51,973 |
225,083 |
24,482 |
127,576 |
213,645 |
Selling
and Distribution Expenses |
-321,925 |
-261,289 |
-185,072 |
-245,005 |
-210,139 |
-164,253 |
Administrative
Expenses |
-589,573 |
-554,063 |
-326,741 |
-295,981 |
-328,165 |
-253,950 |
Operating
Profit |
1,222,478 |
1,251,969 |
1,175,330 |
354,413 |
433,706 |
542,668 |
Finance
Cost |
-1,790,268 |
-535,723 |
-264,901 |
-412,137 |
-425,414 |
-151,632 |
Finance
Income |
721,330 |
440,172 |
43,449 |
15,117 |
21,235 |
18,184 |
Profit
Before Tax |
153,540 |
1,156,418 |
953,878 |
-42,607 |
29,527 |
409,220 |
Income
Tax Expenses |
-163,750 |
-189,670 |
-137,266 |
-12,590 |
25,421 |
-66,939 |
Profit/(loss)
for the Year |
-10,210 |
966,748 |
816,612 |
-55,197 |
54,948 |
342,281 |
EPS |
-0.02 |
1.61 |
1.36 |
0.18 |
0.18 |
1.14 |
DPS |
0.25 |
0.6 |
0.53 |
0 |
0.6 |
1.05 |
Statement
of Financial Position (All values in Rs
"000") |
||||||
Non-Current
Assets |
2023 |
2022 |
2021 |
2020 |
2019 |
2018 |
Property,
Plant and Equipment |
4,650,642 |
4,166,241 |
3,540,963 |
3,485,837 |
3,568,970 |
3,089,885 |
Intangible
Assets |
85,657 |
88,868 |
101,490 |
72,009 |
55,124 |
46,426 |
Right-of-Use
Assets |
266,293 |
272,775 |
198,325 |
45,820 |
0 |
0 |
Investments
in Subsidiaries |
0 |
30,000 |
30,000 |
30,000 |
30,000 |
30,000 |
5,002,592 |
4,557,884 |
3,870,778 |
3,633,666 |
3,654,094 |
3,166,311 |
|
Current
Assets |
||||||
Inventories |
3,656,606 |
3,247,592 |
1,670,701 |
1,684,732 |
1,594,881 |
1,443,879 |
Trade
and Other Receivables |
1,177,609 |
1,347,316 |
877,895 |
774,052 |
840,724 |
817,983 |
Advances
and Prepayments |
508,049 |
1,240,377 |
166,702 |
90,198 |
65,573 |
58,090 |
Income
Tax Receivable |
16,486 |
0 |
0 |
51234 |
39123 |
13965 |
Cash
and Cash Equivalents |
156,688 |
843,214 |
469,230 |
70,728 |
59,961 |
207,038 |
5,515,438 |
6,678,499 |
3,184,528 |
2,670,944 |
2,600,262 |
2,540,955 |
|
Total
Assets |
10,518,030 |
11,236,383 |
7,055,306 |
6,304,610 |
6,254,356 |
5,707,266 |
Equity
and Liabilities |
||||||
Stated
Capital |
283,735 |
283,735 |
283,735 |
283,735 |
283,735 |
283,735 |
Reserves |
933,645 |
939,771 |
829,945 |
774,607 |
779,892 |
640,268 |
Retained
Earnings |
2,391,217 |
1,669,253 |
1,125,965 |
617,213 |
669,910 |
788,262 |
Total
Equity |
3,608,597 |
2,892,759 |
2,239,645 |
1,675,555 |
1,733,537 |
1,712,265 |
Non-Current
Liabilities |
||||||
Interest
Bearing Loans and Borrowings |
656,122 |
1,128,989 |
823,025 |
1,353,950 |
1,198,750 |
1,133,750 |
Non
Current Portion of Lease Liability |
219,091 |
230,981 |
186,843 |
33,039 |
0 |
|
Retirement
Benefit Liability |
206,976 |
148,940 |
128,639 |
111,225 |
99,292 |
96,644 |
Deferred
Tax Liabilities |
444,218 |
245,033 |
241,633 |
241,868 |
247,603 |
216,580 |
1,526,407 |
1,753,943 |
1,380,140 |
1,740,082 |
1,545,645 |
1,446,974 |
|
Current
Liabilities |
||||||
Trade
and Other Payables |
1,693,480 |
2,951,594 |
1,785,924 |
1,153,744 |
1,114,244 |
1,101,508 |
Current
Portion of Long-Term Interest Bearing Borrowings |
573,067 |
651,392 |
736,650 |
727,900 |
527,500 |
380,000 |
Current
Portion of Lease Liability |
76,428 |
72,366 |
18,629 |
23,698 |
0 |
|
Short-Term
Interest Bearing Borrowings |
3,017,627 |
2,642,751 |
855,249 |
972,909 |
1,311,460 |
1,061,367 |
Provisions |
22,424 |
17,093 |
13,181 |
10,722 |
21,970 |
5,152 |
Income
Tax Liabilities |
0 |
254,485 |
25,888 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5,383,026 |
6,589,681 |
3,435,521 |
2,888,973 |
2,975,174 |
2,548,027 |
|
Total
Equity and Liabilities |
10,518,030 |
11,236,383 |
7,055,306 |
6,304,610 |
6,254,356 |
5,707,266 |
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